Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

229.31 – 252.1

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

324 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.7 ±11.4

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 123.96Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3814PiBotics

Season APEX 105.5Event APEX 13.44Rank 14Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 91.91Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.9 ±9.8

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 108.99Rank 5Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 40.14Rank 12Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 102.97Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4272, 3814, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4272, 3814, 1720

Auto

36.1 16%

Teleop

139.8 61%

Endgame

53.7 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1501, 447, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.1 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1501, 447, 2783

Auto

59.7 23%

Teleop

133.0 52%

Endgame

61.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score229.3pts

Blue projected score252.1pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.8
Score range: 199–282
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 674 vs event baseline 168.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.7Season APEX589.9

36.1Auto59.7

139.8Teleop133

53.7Endgame61.9

113Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	71
teleop	210	171
endgame	71	78
foul	0	30
total	324	350

Result

Final score

324 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts

Match videos

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