Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

242.02 – 194.18

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 549 ±10.7

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 115.87Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 87.17Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5492Winner's Circle Robo Jockey's

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 38.98Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455 ±12.4

6498Castle Robotics

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 48.62Rank 10Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 38.79Rank 4Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 106.77Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4272, 1720, 5492

/ 100 compat

Projected

242 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4272, 1720, 5492

Auto

53.6 22%

Teleop

141.6 59%

Endgame

43.3 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6498, 10137, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6498, 10137, 2783

Auto

45.1 23%

Teleop

102.2 53%

Endgame

45.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score242pts

Blue projected score194.2pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.8
Score range: 163–273
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 172.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

549Season APEX455

53.6Auto45.1

141.6Teleop102.2

43.3Endgame45.9

39Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	47
teleop	137	55
endgame	43	60
foul	0	0
total	243	162

Result

Final score

243 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.