Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.15 – 117.91

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.4 ±11.9

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 120.47Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3814PiBotics

Season APEX 105.5Event APEX 12.69Rank 14Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 100.99Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.1 ±9.8

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 20.9Rank 16Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 55.72Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 41.29Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4272, 3814, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4272, 3814, 2783

Auto

52.2 22%

Teleop

116.1 49%

Endgame

68.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3494, 6340, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3494, 6340, 9491

Auto

19.6 17%

Teleop

63.2 56%

Endgame

30.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score234.2pts

Blue projected score117.9pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.2
Score range: 88–264
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 164.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.4Season APEX346.1

52.2Auto19.6

116.1Teleop63.2

68.4Endgame30.8

160Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	18
teleop	144	40
endgame	61	14
foul	0	0
total	244	72

Result

Final score

244 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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