Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.24 – 250.99

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437 ±11.9

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 62.2Rank 6Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3814PiBotics

Season APEX 105.5Event APEX 20.22Rank 14Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 83.82Rank 9Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.7 ±11.2

5492Winner's Circle Robo Jockey's

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 29.96Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 96.71Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 124.32Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4926, 3814, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4926, 3814, 5010

Auto

28.7 17%

Teleop

92.3 56%

Endgame

43.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5492, 2783, 4272

/ 100 compat

Projected

251 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5492, 2783, 4272

Auto

61.9 25%

Teleop

120.4 49%

Endgame

64.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score166.2pts

Blue projected score251pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.7
Score range: 136–281
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 167.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437Season APEX612.7

28.7Auto61.9

92.3Teleop120.4

43.8Endgame64.2

129Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	74
teleop	59	85
endgame	38	59
foul	0	0
total	104	218

Result

Final score

104 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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