Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.28 – 161.3

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.6 ±12.4

7657Thunderbots

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 25.42Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 42.28Rank 4Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 38.58Rank 12Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 636.9 ±8.7

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 82.16Rank 9Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 77.48Rank 5Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 1.66Rank 16Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7657, 10137, 447

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7657, 10137, 447

Auto

22.0 20%

Teleop

57.0 52%

Endgame

29.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5010, 1501, 3494

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5010, 1501, 3494

Auto

37.0 23%

Teleop

85.3 53%

Endgame

40.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.34 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score106.3pts

Blue projected score161.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55
Score range: 75–192
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 171.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.6Season APEX636.9

22Auto37

57Teleop85.3

29.8Endgame40.1

108Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	33
teleop	15	101
endgame	2	77
foul	15	0
total	39	211

Result

Final score

39 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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