Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.48 – 208.46

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 22 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±11.9

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 66.5Rank 5Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3814PiBotics

Season APEX 105.5Event APEX 48.28Rank 14Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 19.7Rank 8Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.9 ±11.4

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 35.55Rank 4Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 104.2Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 68.71Rank 9Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1501, 3814, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1501, 3814, 9491

Auto

22.1 18%

Teleop

58.7 48%

Endgame

40.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10137, 1720, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.5 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10137, 1720, 5010

Auto

40.7 19%

Teleop

101.4 47%

Endgame

74.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score134.5pts

Blue projected score208.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74
Score range: 104–238
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 164.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.6Season APEX511.9

22.1Auto40.7

58.7Teleop101.4

40.6Endgame74.3

130Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	52
teleop	67	164
endgame	34	34
foul	0	0
total	137	250

Result

Final score

137 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 22 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.