Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

390.88 – 77.8

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

322 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.8 ±11.2

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 214.06Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 25.27Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 151.55Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.5 ±13.9

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX -0.65Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

757Crazy Train

Season APEX 111.1Event APEX 31.87Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1802Team Stealth

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 46.58Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 1825, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.9 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 1825, 1986

Auto

80.1 21%

Teleop

223.1 59%

Endgame

73.6 20%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5013, 757, 1802

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.8 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5013, 757, 1802

Auto

25.4 34%

Teleop

36.6 49%

Endgame

13.1 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score390.9pts

Blue projected score77.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 313.1
Score range: 56–413
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 417 vs event baseline 122.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.8Season APEX361.5

80.1Auto25.4

223.1Teleop36.6

73.6Endgame13.1

12Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	37
teleop	186	39
endgame	71	19
foul	5	0
total	322	95

Result

Final score

322 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Match videos

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