Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.29 – 75.62

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.4 ±13.4

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX -Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.9 ±14.5

10453Northmen Robotics

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4959Staley Robotics

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX -Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1810CATATRONICS

Season APEX 142.1Event APEX 37.43Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5126, 5098, 10682

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5126, 5098, 10682

Auto

17.2 30%

Teleop

28.6 50%

Endgame

11.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10453, 4959, 1810

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10453, 4959, 1810

Auto

23.2 31%

Teleop

38.5 51%

Endgame

13.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score57.3pts

Blue projected score75.6pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.3
Score range: 36–97
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 114.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.4Season APEX308.9

-Auto11.7

-Teleop19.4

-Endgame6.3

-Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	33
teleop	31	47
endgame	15	8
foul	5	10
total	73	98

Result

Final score

73 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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