Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.77 – 149.66

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.2 ±14.5

8825Team Eagle Eyed

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX -3.68Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9551Tiger

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 75.62Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 22.83Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.3 ±12.7

9410PowerHouse

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 67.96Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 39.07Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 42.63Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8825, 9551, 1825

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8825, 9551, 1825

Auto

15.9 16%

Teleop

63.6 65%

Endgame

19.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9410, 4418, 9316

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9410, 4418, 9316

Auto

40.2 31%

Teleop

67.9 52%

Endgame

22.0 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.8pts

Blue projected score149.7pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.9
Score range: 73–172
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 122.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

276.2Season APEX324.3

15.9Auto40.2

63.6Teleop67.9

19.1Endgame22

26Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	32
teleop	60	115
endgame	33	35
foul	5	0
total	123	182

Result

Final score

123 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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