Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.2 – 176.04

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.8 ±15.2

5119Team STEAM

Season APEX 58Event APEX 22.42Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX 1.07Rank 41Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 7.71Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.9 ±12.9

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 154.26Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1994Quixote

Season APEX 59Event APEX -2.35Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 24.13Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5119, 2457, 10682

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.2 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5119, 2457, 10682

Auto

14.5 53%

Teleop

4.9 18%

Endgame

8.1 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1986, 1994, 5098

/ 100 compat

Projected

176 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1986, 1994, 5098

Auto

29.0 17%

Teleop

106.5 62%

Endgame

35.5 21%

Strengths

· 1986 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score31.2pts

Blue projected score176pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144.8
Score range: 9–198
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 123.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.8Season APEX374.9

14.5Auto29

4.9Teleop106.5

8.1Endgame35.5

4Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	35
teleop	4	100
endgame	7	11
foul	0	5
total	26	151

Result

Final score

26 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.