Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.68 – 195.75

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.7 ±12.7

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 37.76Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1810CATATRONICS

Season APEX 142.1Event APEX 70.35Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 0.57Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.1 ±13.9

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 101.24Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 81.96Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1764Liberty Robotics

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 12.55Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4418, 1810, 1847

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4418, 1810, 1847

Auto

40.0 38%

Teleop

53.5 51%

Endgame

12.4 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9126, 1730, 1764

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9126, 1730, 1764

Auto

50.3 26%

Teleop

99.4 51%

Endgame

44.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score108.7pts

Blue projected score195.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.1
Score range: 87–218
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 122.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.7Season APEX523.1

40Auto50.3

53.5Teleop99.4

12.4Endgame44.8

27Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	46
teleop	57	80
endgame	29	35
foul	5	20
total	123	181

Result

Final score

123 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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