Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.55 – 108.28

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.6 ±13.9

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 11.15Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX -7.32Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 73.72Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.3 ±16

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 17.4Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 68.17Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4809Black Knight Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 22.71Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1775, 5013, 1730

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1775, 5013, 1730

Auto

35.4 46%

Teleop

34.0 44%

Endgame

7.6 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1825, 5126, 4809

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1825, 5126, 4809

Auto

14.6 14%

Teleop

61.9 61%

Endgame

25.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.6pts

Blue projected score108.3pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.7
Score range: 56–130
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 121.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.6Season APEX272.3

35.4Auto14.6

34Teleop61.9

7.6Endgame25.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	42
teleop	62	101
endgame	28	17
foul	5	0
total	130	160

Result

Final score

130 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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