Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.3 – 130.68

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

49 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274 ±13.9

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 17.39Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4959Staley Robotics

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 52.26Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 25.65Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.6 ±17.1

5189Team K.I.S.S.

Provisional

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 46.91Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5119Team STEAM

Season APEX 58Event APEX 39.2Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 44.57Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1847, 4959, 10682

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1847, 4959, 10682

Auto

16.8 20%

Teleop

38.5 46%

Endgame

27.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5189, 5119, 4418

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5189, 5119, 4418

Auto

25.2 19%

Teleop

82.9 62%

Endgame

26.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.3pts

Blue projected score130.7pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.4
Score range: 73–153
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 122.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274Season APEX210.6

16.8Auto25.2

38.5Teleop82.9

27.8Endgame26.6

46Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	35
teleop	23	11
endgame	14	1
foul	0	0
total	49	47

Result

Final score

49 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.