Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.57 – 215.03

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.8 ±14.5

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 8.72Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

757Crazy Train

Season APEX 111.1Event APEX -16.58Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2345Kearnage

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 46.43Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539 ±12.4

1764Liberty Robotics

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 32.85Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX -2.24Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 184.42Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10682, 757, 2345

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10682, 757, 2345

Auto

15.4 43%

Teleop

1.1 3%

Endgame

19.2 54%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1764, 5013, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

215 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1764, 5013, 1987

Auto

52.3 24%

Teleop

119.1 55%

Endgame

45.7 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score215pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -176.5
Score range: 17–237
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 122.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.8Season APEX539

15.4Auto52.3

1.1Teleop119.1

19.2Endgame45.7

104Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	58
teleop	60	89
endgame	31	45
foul	0	0
total	126	192

Result

Final score

126 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.