Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.73 – 67.36

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.2 ±11.6

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -4.9Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 171.44Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 49.19Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.4 ±13.9

1763Paséliens

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX -6.72Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4418IMPULSE

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 51.82Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

935RaileRobotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 22.26Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1847, 1986, 5126

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1847, 1986, 5126

Auto

29.1 14%

Teleop

114.3 56%

Endgame

59.6 29%

Strengths

· 1986 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1763, 4418, 935

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1763, 4418, 935

Auto

22.7 34%

Teleop

28.1 42%

Endgame

16.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score215.7pts

Blue projected score67.4pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.4
Score range: 45–238
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 119.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.2Season APEX196.4

29.1Auto22.7

114.3Teleop28.1

59.6Endgame16.4

63Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	18
teleop	156	42
endgame	59	41
foul	5	0
total	249	101

Result

Final score

249 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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