Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 102.57

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.2 ±15

1994Quixote

Season APEX 59Event APEX 2.59Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1775Tigerbytes

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX -4.16Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -6.2Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.8 ±14.5

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 37.6Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1802Team Stealth

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 69.09Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

937Nerd Herd

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX -4.12Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1994, 1775, 10682

/ 100 compat

Projected

-7.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1994, 1775, 10682

Auto

12.0 0%

Teleop

-32.0 100%

Endgame

-0.3 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9445, 1802, 937

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9445, 1802, 937

Auto

41.8 43%

Teleop

39.2 40%

Endgame

16.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-7.8pts

Blue projected score102.6pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.6
Score range: -21–124
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 114.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.2Season APEX265.8

12Auto41.8

-32Teleop39.2

-0.3Endgame16.6

154Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	17	66
endgame	7	0
foul	10	0
total	49	95

Result

Final score

49 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.