Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.36 – 68.24

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 75.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.2 ±12.2

935RaileRobotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 5.31Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 58.72Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 11.33Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.1 ±13.9

10453Northmen Robotics

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 21.06Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 41.48Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX 5.7Rank 41Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 935, 2357, 9316

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 935, 2357, 9316

Auto

24.7 44%

Teleop

23.1 41%

Endgame

8.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10453, 1730, 2457

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10453, 1730, 2457

Auto

28.8 46%

Teleop

33.8 54%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score75.4pts

Blue projected score68.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.1
Score range: 47–96
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 115.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.2Season APEX253.1

24.7Auto28.8

23.1Teleop33.8

8.3Endgame0

122Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	15
teleop	97	3
endgame	29	0
foul	5	0
total	176	18

Result

Final score

176 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 75.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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