Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.67 – 68.5

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.7 ±12.4

1802Team Stealth

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 59.13Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 13.11Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 145.43Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.6 ±12.9

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 39.99Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -0.23Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1769Digital Hawks

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 28.74Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1802, 1825, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1802, 1825, 1987

Auto

55.7 26%

Teleop

110.0 51%

Endgame

48.5 23%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2357, 1847, 1769

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2357, 1847, 1769

Auto

22.9 36%

Teleop

25.9 40%

Endgame

15.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score217.7pts

Blue projected score68.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.2
Score range: 49–238
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 407 vs event baseline 109.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.7Season APEX351.6

55.7Auto22.9

110Teleop25.9

48.5Endgame15.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	7
teleop	157	81
endgame	44	42
foul	25	0
total	277	130

Result

Final score

277 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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