Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
130.6 – 224.62
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 40.44Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 66.1Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59Event APEX 24.06Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 18.97Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 103.99Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 119.5Event APEX 101.66Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5126, 9445, 1994
77
/ 100 compatProjected
130.6 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5126, 9445, 1994
Auto
27.0 20%
Teleop
70.7 54%
Endgame
34.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9316, 5801, 5268
90
/ 100 compatProjected
224.6 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 9316, 5801, 5268
Auto
43.4 20%
Teleop
114.3 53%
Endgame
59.7 27%
Strengths
- · 5801 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score130.6pts
Blue projected score224.6pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -94
- Score range
- 111–245
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
255.5Season APEX375.7
27Auto43.4
70.7Teleop114.3
34.1Endgame59.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 25 |
| teleop | 31 | 81 |
| endgame | 23 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 80 |
| total | 71 | 210 |
Result
Final score
71 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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