Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.11 – 46.57

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.2 ±14.5

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 92.11Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5141GRIFFINITE

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 10.28Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2345Kearnage

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 17.72Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.6 ±12.7

6843Guardian Gears

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 22.79Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 2.92Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 20.86Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9445, 5141, 2345

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9445, 5141, 2345

Auto

29.8 25%

Teleop

59.5 51%

Endgame

28.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6843, 1847, 5098

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6843, 1847, 5098

Auto

13.8 31%

Teleop

18.5 42%

Endgame

11.9 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.1pts

Blue projected score46.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.5
Score range: 26–141
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 104 vs event baseline 114.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.2Season APEX249.6

29.8Auto13.8

59.5Teleop18.5

28.1Endgame11.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	7
teleop	43	13
endgame	13	12
foul	0	0
total	72	32

Result

Final score

72 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.