Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

382.93 – 179.54

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 661 ±11.2

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 208.83Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1723The FBI - FIRST Bots of Independence

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 31.04Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 143.06Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 581.4 ±12.2

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 9.49Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 99.71Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5801CTC Inspire

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 70.34Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 1723, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 1723, 1986

Auto

76.1 21%

Teleop

217.1 59%

Endgame

73.9 20%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1847, 9126, 5801

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1847, 9126, 5801

Auto

27.1 16%

Teleop

94.2 54%

Endgame

51.7 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score382.9pts

Blue projected score179.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.4
Score range: 157–406
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 129.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

661Season APEX581.4

76.1Auto27.1

217.1Teleop94.2

73.9Endgame51.7

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	20
teleop	190	107
endgame	49	73
foul	5	5
total	337	205

Result

Final score

337 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Match videos

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