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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Johnson Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

575.68 – 566.91

53%47%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

445 – 552

Prediction missed · off by 72.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 897.3 ±8.7
4391BraveBots
A
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 212.91Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10340ITKAN Girls
A+
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 162.05Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5026Iron Panthers
A+
Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 200.72Rank 12Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 780.8 ±8.7
9072TigerBots
A
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 193.93Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7220Steel Falcons
A
Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 162.41Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
836The RoboBees
A
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 210.57Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 10340, 5026
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
575.7 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 4391, 10340, 5026
Auto
124.5 22%
Teleop
315.7 56%
Endgame
123.4 22%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9072, 7220, 836
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
566.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 9072, 7220, 836
Auto
111.3 20%
Teleop
292.2 53%
Endgame
144.9 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score575.7pts
Blue projected score566.9pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
8.8
Score range
494–649
Upset likelihood
47%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 997 vs event baseline 406.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

897.3Season APEX780.8
124.5Auto111.3
315.7Teleop292.2
123.4Endgame144.9
70Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto92142
teleop251338
endgame8772
foul150
total445552

Result

Final score

445 – 552

Prediction missed · off by 72.8 pts

Match videos

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