Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
636 – 542.43
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
351 – 608
Prediction missed · off by 175.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 897.3 ±8.7
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 232.85Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 182.86Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 220.29Rank 12Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 750.7 ±7.1
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 202.55Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 183.05Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 156.83Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4391, 10340, 5026
85
/ 100 compatProjected
636 pts
~2.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 4391, 10340, 5026
Auto
129.6 21%
Teleop
357.9 57%
Endgame
136.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1002, 190, 118
81
/ 100 compatProjected
542.4 pts
~1.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 1002, 190, 118
Auto
104.3 19%
Teleop
297.7 55%
Endgame
138.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score636pts
Blue projected score542.4pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.6
- Score range
- 469–709
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
897.3Season APEX750.7
129.6Auto104.3
357.9Teleop297.7
136.7Endgame138.1
68Consistency109
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 107 | 123 |
| teleop | 154 | 348 |
| endgame | 75 | 137 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 351 | 608 |
Result
Final score
351 – 608
Prediction missed · off by 175.3 pts
Match videos
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