Qualification · Qualification 98

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

480.39 – 458.58

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

438 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 145 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 773.7 ±8.7

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 190.6Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 192.72Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 97.07Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 652.2 ±8.4

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 70.47Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 217.77Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 170.34Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 4391, 9757

/ 100 compat

Projected

480.4 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 6324, 4391, 9757

Auto

49.7 10%

Teleop

266.8 56%

Endgame

156.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10217, 2337, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

458.6 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 10217, 2337, 118

Auto

126.0 28%

Teleop

256.7 58%

Endgame

62.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score480.4pts

Blue projected score458.6pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.8
Score range: 387–552
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 399.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

773.7Season APEX652.2

49.7Auto126

266.8Teleop256.7

156.9Endgame62

126Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	51
teleop	224	76
endgame	108	79
foul	20	5
total	438	211

Result

Final score

438 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 145 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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