Qualification · Qualification 97

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

377.59 – 356.38

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

456 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 690.8 ±8.7

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 147.19Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 145.61Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 84.79Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684.5 ±9.9

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 174.49Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 54.92Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 126.97Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 48, 1792, 10014

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.6 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 48, 1792, 10014

Auto

95.3 26%

Teleop

165.5 45%

Endgame

106.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 360, 334, 1908

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 360, 334, 1908

Auto

53.2 15%

Teleop

218.2 63%

Endgame

74.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score377.6pts

Blue projected score356.4pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.2
Score range: 284–450
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 869 vs event baseline 399.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

690.8Season APEX684.5

95.3Auto53.2

165.5Teleop218.2

106.7Endgame74.9

168Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	61
teleop	234	224
endgame	134	118
foul	5	10
total	456	413

Result

Final score

456 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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