Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

625.6 – 221.12

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

659 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 864.2 ±8.7

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 139.44Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 246.69Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 239.47Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 699.2 ±11.2

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX -16.68Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 104.75Rank 24Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 133.05Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1306, 4522, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

625.6 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1306, 4522, 3255

Auto

116.0 19%

Teleop

329.7 53%

Endgame

171.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7551, 2522, 2252

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.1 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 7551, 2522, 2252

Auto

48.6 24%

Teleop

50.3 25%

Endgame

99.7 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.94 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score625.6pts

Blue projected score221.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 404.5
Score range: 149–698
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 894 vs event baseline 400.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

864.2Season APEX699.2

116Auto48.6

329.7Teleop50.3

171.4Endgame99.7

114Consistency195

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	137	79
teleop	371	151
endgame	146	0
foul	5	5
total	659	235

Result

Final score

659 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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