Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.58 – 477.79

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

207 – 489

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.2 ±14.3

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 98.68Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 118.86Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2096RoboActive

Provisional

Season APEX 188.5Event APEX 3.04Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 798.9 ±8.7

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 209.13Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 132.76Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 135.9Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7257, 2619, 2096

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.6 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 7257, 2619, 2096

Auto

76.7 36%

Teleop

103.1 48%

Endgame

33.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 836, 8, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.8 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 836, 8, 4451

Auto

77.5 17%

Teleop

258.2 56%

Endgame

125.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score220.6pts

Blue projected score477.8pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -257.2
Score range: 149–550
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 696 vs event baseline 401.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.2Season APEX798.9

76.7Auto77.5

103.1Teleop258.2

33.5Endgame125.8

107Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	109
teleop	83	213
endgame	67	162
foul	0	5
total	207	489

Result

Final score

207 – 489

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable