Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

555.12 – 399.66

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

630 – 431

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 808.8 ±11.4

6940Violet Z

Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 65.02Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 298.15Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 191.95Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 607.1 ±10.4

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 17.45Rank 68Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 247.72Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 134.49Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6940, 7558, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

555.1 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 6940, 7558, 1002

Auto

95.4 18%

Teleop

307.2 58%

Endgame

124.9 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10114, 117, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.7 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 10114, 117, 3061

Auto

87.7 22%

Teleop

250.7 62%

Endgame

63.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score555.1pts

Blue projected score399.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155.5
Score range: 328–627
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1061 vs event baseline 397.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

808.8Season APEX607.1

95.4Auto87.7

307.2Teleop250.7

124.9Endgame63.8

123Consistency141

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	166	74
teleop	310	242
endgame	134	95
foul	20	20
total	630	431

Result

Final score

630 – 431

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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