Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

350.28 – 370.46

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

483 – 374

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 643.2 ±8.7

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 0.52Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 167.89Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 181.87Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 696.2 ±9.9

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 101.84Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 151.98Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

955Ctrl C

A+

Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 116.64Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 321, 9072, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.3 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 321, 9072, 33

Auto

38.6 11%

Teleop

176.1 50%

Endgame

138.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2704, 48, 955

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.5 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2704, 48, 955

Auto

71.9 21%

Teleop

199.2 57%

Endgame

78.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score350.3pts

Blue projected score370.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.2
Score range: 279–441
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 857 vs event baseline 396.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

643.2Season APEX696.2

38.6Auto71.9

176.1Teleop199.2

138.9Endgame78.6

63Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	91
teleop	240	189
endgame	163	89
foul	10	5
total	483	374

Result

Final score

483 – 374

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.