Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

304.16 – 507.6

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

444 – 447

Prediction correct · off by 100.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 650.2 ±10.5

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 133.57Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 117.04Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 53.55Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 797.8 ±9.8

3630Stampede

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 86.64Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 189.61Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 231.35Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3536, 2252, 334

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.2 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3536, 2252, 334

Auto

56.7 20%

Teleop

179.8 64%

Endgame

44.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3630, 3414, 9483

/ 100 compat

Projected

507.6 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3630, 3414, 9483

Auto

104.8 21%

Teleop

298.3 60%

Endgame

98.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score304.2pts

Blue projected score507.6pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.4
Score range: 232–580
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 891 vs event baseline 397.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

650.2Season APEX797.8

56.7Auto104.8

179.8Teleop298.3

44.1Endgame98

169Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	112
teleop	271	272
endgame	94	63
foul	15	0
total	444	447

Result

Final score

444 – 447

Prediction correct · off by 100.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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