Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

371.76 – 390.71

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

352 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 595.1 ±11

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 140.64Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 108.93Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9277Sparkans

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 122.19Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748.3 ±11.2

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 160.84Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 66.14Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 163.73Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3061, 2638, 9277

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.8 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3061, 2638, 9277

Auto

88.6 25%

Teleop

214.0 60%

Endgame

56.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9072, 10217, 9597

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.7 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9072, 10217, 9597

Auto

86.8 22%

Teleop

224.4 57%

Endgame

83.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score371.8pts

Blue projected score390.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.9
Score range: 300–463
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 840 vs event baseline 398.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

595.1Season APEX748.3

88.6Auto86.8

214Teleop224.4

56.5Endgame83

112Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	79
teleop	175	251
endgame	66	128
foul	15	30
total	352	488

Result

Final score

352 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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