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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Johnson Division

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.93 – 193.93

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 478

Prediction missed · off by 143.6 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.1 ±11.9
48Team E.L.I.T.E.
B
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX -Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7403Lightning Blue Lizards
B
Season APEX 220Event APEX -Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91
10114Phantom Talons
C
Season APEX 131.5Event APEX -Rank 68Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 701.5 ±9.3
1073The Force Team
A
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX -Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7257Semiconductors
B
Season APEX 179.4Event APEX -Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6324The Blue Devils
A
Season APEX 268.7Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 48, 7403, 10114
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
193.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 48, 7403, 10114
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1073, 7257, 6324
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
193.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 1073, 7257, 6324
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score193.9pts
Blue projected score193.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
124–264
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 675 vs event baseline 387.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.1Season APEX701.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2791
teleop116265
endgame4492
foul1030
total197478

Result

Final score

197 – 478

Prediction missed · off by 143.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

Match videos

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