Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

229.77 – 436.8

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

296 – 774

Prediction correct · off by 201.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.8 ±10.5

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 179.14Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 19.28Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 31.35Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 822.3 ±9.3

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 138.28Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 175.15Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 123.37Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1002, 10396, 11269

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.8 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1002, 10396, 11269

Auto

72.6 31%

Teleop

139.1 59%

Endgame

22.9 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 33, 2337, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

436.8 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 33, 2337, 498

Auto

91.1 21%

Teleop

263.8 60%

Endgame

81.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score229.8pts

Blue projected score436.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -207
Score range: 159–508
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1070 vs event baseline 396.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.8Season APEX822.3

72.6Auto91.1

139.1Teleop263.8

22.9Endgame81.8

154Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	174
teleop	144	443
endgame	85	157
foul	0	0
total	296	774

Result

Final score

296 – 774

Prediction correct · off by 201.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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