Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

217.33 – 568.54

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

353 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.5 ±9.3

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 72.86Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 61.74Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 82.73Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 758.1 ±10.5

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 26.15Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 250.91Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 291.48Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6766, 9757, 245

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.3 pts

~0.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 6766, 9757, 245

Auto

31.9 16%

Teleop

111.7 54%

Endgame

61.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6652, 117, 7558

/ 100 compat

Projected

568.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 6652, 117, 7558

Auto

88.5 16%

Teleop

314.5 57%

Endgame

149.6 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score217.3pts

Blue projected score568.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -351.2
Score range: 146–640
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 917 vs event baseline 395.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.5Season APEX758.1

31.9Auto88.5

111.7Teleop314.5

61.9Endgame149.6

147Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	77
teleop	180	382
endgame	106	85
foul	5	20
total	353	564

Result

Final score

353 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.