Qualification · Qualification 77
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
454.8 – 360
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
366 – 391
Prediction missed · off by 59.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 778.4 ±8.7
Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 124.03Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 106.27Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 224.5Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 679.5 ±11.4
Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 88.75Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 56.61Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 214.64Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 955, 3770, 67
74
/ 100 compatProjected
454.8 pts
~2.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 955, 3770, 67
Auto
96.1 21%
Teleop
255.5 56%
Endgame
108.4 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 619, 6940, 836
67
/ 100 compatProjected
360 pts
~0.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 619, 6940, 836
Auto
80.9 23%
Teleop
165.3 48%
Endgame
100.1 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score454.8pts
Blue projected score360pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 94.8
- Score range
- 289–526
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
778.4Season APEX679.5
96.1Auto80.9
255.5Teleop165.3
108.4Endgame100.1
114Consistency150
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 63 | 36 |
| teleop | 186 | 201 |
| endgame | 112 | 84 |
| foul | 5 | 70 |
| total | 366 | 391 |
Result
Final score
366 – 391
Prediction missed · off by 59.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.