Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

524.42 – 486.42

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

475 – 492

Prediction missed · off by 27.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 711 ±9.3

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 92.26Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 178.16Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 254Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 800.5 ±8.7

4946The Alpha Dogs

A+

Season APEX 323.6Event APEX 161.47Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 220.45Rank 12Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 104.5Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5968, 360, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

524.4 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5968, 360, 3255

Auto

74.4 15%

Teleop

297.4 59%

Endgame

136.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4946, 5026, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

486.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 4946, 5026, 6829

Auto

114.8 24%

Teleop

275.0 57%

Endgame

94.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score524.4pts

Blue projected score486.4pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38
Score range: 415–595
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 967 vs event baseline 394.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

711Season APEX800.5

74.4Auto114.8

297.4Teleop275

136.4Endgame94.8

106Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	120
teleop	214	249
endgame	142	103
foul	35	20
total	475	492

Result

Final score

475 – 492

Prediction missed · off by 27.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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