Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

254.15 – 332.4

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

316 – 443

Prediction correct · off by 86.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 575 ±9.3

179Children of the Swamp

Season APEX 230Event APEX 175.08Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 106.68Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -27.61Rank 71Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649 ±9.3

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 85.17Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 145.08Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 102.15Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 179, 4451, 772

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.2 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 179, 4451, 772

Auto

48.0 19%

Teleop

90.5 36%

Endgame

113.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2638, 1073, 3603

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.4 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2638, 1073, 3603

Auto

65.5 21%

Teleop

172.3 55%

Endgame

76.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score254.2pts

Blue projected score332.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.2
Score range: 183–403
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 759 vs event baseline 393.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

575Season APEX649

48Auto65.5

90.5Teleop172.3

113.1Endgame76.9

138Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	101
teleop	195	187
endgame	104	150
foul	5	5
total	316	443

Result

Final score

316 – 443

Prediction correct · off by 86.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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