Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

356.42 – 504.25

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

486 – 546

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 670 ±8.7

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 268.47Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 91.74Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -3.79Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 755.4 ±8.7

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 188.8Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 148.39Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 167.06Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 1076, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.4 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 7558, 1076, 321

Auto

83.0 24%

Teleop

196.7 56%

Endgame

70.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2877, 1306, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

504.3 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2877, 1306, 2337

Auto

63.0 12%

Teleop

262.0 52%

Endgame

179.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score356.4pts

Blue projected score504.3pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.8
Score range: 285–575
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1032 vs event baseline 393.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

670Season APEX755.4

83Auto63

196.7Teleop262

70.2Endgame179.7

171Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	99
teleop	207	344
endgame	165	98
foul	20	5
total	486	546

Result

Final score

486 – 546

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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