Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
193.96 – 193.96
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
271 – 504
Prediction missed · off by 193.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX -Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.4Event APEX -Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 153.6Event APEX -Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 730.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX -Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2096RoboActive
Provisional
Season APEX 188.5Event APEX -Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 256.8Event APEX -Rank 14Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6829, 2638, 3630
50
/ 100 compatProjected
194 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 6829, 2638, 3630
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 4391, 2096, 33
50
/ 100 compatProjected
194 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 4391, 2096, 33
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score194pts
Blue projected score194pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 124–264
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
532.1Season APEX730.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 88 | 86 |
| teleop | 162 | 277 |
| endgame | 21 | 131 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 271 | 504 |
Result
Final score
271 – 504
Prediction missed · off by 193.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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