Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
197.04 – 423.82
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
218 – 339
Prediction correct · off by 52.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.8 ±11.9
Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 18.31Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 122.8Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 55.93Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 681.2 ±8.7
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 99.25Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 210.55Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262Event APEX 114.02Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10396, 4967, 6940
51
/ 100 compatProjected
197 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 10396, 4967, 6940
Auto
45.9 23%
Teleop
104.7 52%
Endgame
51.4 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 245, 8612, 4635
67
/ 100 compatProjected
423.8 pts
~2.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 245, 8612, 4635
Auto
106.5 26%
Teleop
243.3 58%
Endgame
66.5 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score197pts
Blue projected score423.8pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 16%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -226.8
- Score range
- 126–495
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
484.8Season APEX681.2
45.9Auto106.5
104.7Teleop243.3
51.4Endgame66.5
149Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 92 |
| teleop | 74 | 197 |
| endgame | 87 | 50 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 218 | 339 |
Result
Final score
218 – 339
Prediction correct · off by 52.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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