Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

315.74 – 496

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

252 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.8 ±10.5

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 41.37Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 73.04Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 201.33Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 844 ±10.7

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 135.16Rank 24Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 186.9Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 173.94Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11269, 6766, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.7 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 11269, 6766, 360

Auto

62.8 20%

Teleop

182.8 59%

Endgame

65.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2522, 7220, 9597

/ 100 compat

Projected

496 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2522, 7220, 9597

Auto

122.2 25%

Teleop

239.2 48%

Endgame

132.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score315.7pts

Blue projected score496pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180.3
Score range: 244–568
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 636 vs event baseline 397.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.8Season APEX844

62.8Auto122.2

182.8Teleop239.2

65.2Endgame132.2

169Consistency215

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	132
teleop	169	165
endgame	73	87
foul	0	0
total	252	384

Result

Final score

252 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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