Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

196.62 – 301.11

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

289 – 288

Prediction missed · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.8 ±8.7

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -39.26Rank 71Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 89.53Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 146.35Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611 ±9.3

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 143.81Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX -35.28Rank 68Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 192.58Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 772, 3603, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.6 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 772, 3603, 2337

Auto

67.4 35%

Teleop

79.1 41%

Endgame

48.2 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1908, 10114, 3620

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.1 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 1908, 10114, 3620

Auto

69.0 23%

Teleop

164.6 55%

Endgame

64.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score196.6pts

Blue projected score301.1pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.5
Score range: 125–373
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 577 vs event baseline 399.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.8Season APEX611

67.4Auto69

79.1Teleop164.6

48.2Endgame64.9

199Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	61
teleop	141	156
endgame	104	66
foul	5	5
total	289	288

Result

Final score

289 – 288

Prediction missed · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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