Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

288.43 – 546.46

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

273 – 533

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 623.9 ±14.3

2096RoboActive

Provisional

Season APEX 188.5Event APEX 0.79Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 67.27Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 220.37Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 808.1 ±8.7

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 139.24Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 150.84Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 256.38Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2096, 10217, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.4 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2096, 10217, 3414

Auto

67.9 23%

Teleop

165.1 57%

Endgame

57.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1073, 1792, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

546.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1073, 1792, 4522

Auto

146.4 28%

Teleop

296.9 56%

Endgame

85.4 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score288.4pts

Blue projected score546.5pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -258
Score range: 216–618
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 806 vs event baseline 398.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

623.9Season APEX808.1

67.9Auto146.4

165.1Teleop296.9

57.6Endgame85.4

154Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	131
teleop	140	245
endgame	48	147
foul	0	10
total	273	533

Result

Final score

273 – 533

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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