Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

313.24 – 656.82

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

384 – 657

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 559.3 ±9.8

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 73Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 184.92Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 55.32Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 820.9 ±9.3

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 163.77Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 220.21Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 272.84Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5968, 3620, 10217

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.2 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5968, 3620, 10217

Auto

65.0 22%

Teleop

146.0 49%

Endgame

85.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7220, 3255, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

656.8 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7220, 3255, 117

Auto

126.1 19%

Teleop

363.6 56%

Endgame

159.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score313.2pts

Blue projected score656.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -343.6
Score range: 238–732
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1041 vs event baseline 415.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

559.3Season APEX820.9

65Auto126.1

146Teleop363.6

85.2Endgame159.1

133Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	121
teleop	172	368
endgame	118	163
foul	20	5
total	384	657

Result

Final score

384 – 657

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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