Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.82 – 264.56

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

567 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 183.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.6 ±9.3

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 59.28Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 131.07Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 127.47Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 644.9 ±9.3

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 1.09Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 66.83Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 196.64Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8, 3061, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.8 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 8, 3061, 6324

Auto

73.8 24%

Teleop

194.8 63%

Endgame

42.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10396, 9757, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.6 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 10396, 9757, 3255

Auto

49.8 19%

Teleop

154.4 59%

Endgame

57.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score317.8pts

Blue projected score264.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.3
Score range: 193–390
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 949 vs event baseline 397.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

779.6Season APEX644.9

73.8Auto49.8

194.8Teleop154.4

42Endgame57.7

85Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	74
teleop	326	190
endgame	134	113
foul	15	5
total	567	382

Result

Final score

567 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 183.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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