Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.74 – 271.73

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

182 – 499

Prediction correct · off by 149.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.5 ±12.4

6940Violet Z

Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 26.86Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -45.54Rank 71Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 129.42Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 686.6 ±9.3

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 88.63Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 148.94Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 34.16Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6940, 772, 9484

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.7 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6940, 772, 9484

Auto

19.9 19%

Teleop

42.2 41%

Endgame

40.6 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 3255, 10217

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 4451, 3255, 10217

Auto

66.4 25%

Teleop

114.6 43%

Endgame

84.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score110.7pts

Blue projected score271.7pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -161
Score range: 40–343
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 681 vs event baseline 392.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.5Season APEX686.6

19.9Auto66.4

42.2Teleop114.6

40.6Endgame84.9

212Consistency190

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	97
teleop	61	289
endgame	48	113
foul	5	0
total	182	499

Result

Final score

182 – 499

Prediction correct · off by 149.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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