Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
314.39 – 364.42
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
443 – 783
Prediction correct · off by 273.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 704.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 220.2Event APEX 42.18Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 140.9Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 131.31Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 864.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 126.86Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 68.75Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 168.81Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9757, 1908, 1073
58
/ 100 compatProjected
314.4 pts
~1.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 9757, 1908, 1073
Auto
39.5 13%
Teleop
170.7 58%
Endgame
83.9 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9072, 10340, 4522
65
/ 100 compatProjected
364.4 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 9072, 10340, 4522
Auto
52.4 15%
Teleop
199.8 56%
Endgame
105.2 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score314.4pts
Blue projected score364.4pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -50
- Score range
- 244–434
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
704.5Season APEX864.5
39.5Auto52.4
170.7Teleop199.8
83.9Endgame105.2
136Consistency152
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 175 |
| teleop | 240 | 429 |
| endgame | 145 | 169 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 443 | 783 |
Result
Final score
443 – 783
Prediction correct · off by 273.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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