Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
287.79 – 581.08
3%97%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
397 – 402
Prediction correct · off by 144.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 703.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 91.45Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 117.72Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 78.62Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 828.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 142.58Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 184.69Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 253.81Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1002, 1306, 334
54
/ 100 compatProjected
287.8 pts
~0.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 1002, 1306, 334
Auto
45.2 16%
Teleop
177.2 61%
Endgame
68.4 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 955, 6324, 3620
87
/ 100 compatProjected
581.1 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 955, 6324, 3620
Auto
94.7 17%
Teleop
287.5 51%
Endgame
184.4 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score287.8pts
Blue projected score581.1pts
Red win probability3%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -293.3
- Score range
- 218–651
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
703.7Season APEX828.8
45.2Auto94.7
177.2Teleop287.5
68.4Endgame184.4
88Consistency119
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 75 |
| teleop | 234 | 250 |
| endgame | 99 | 72 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 397 | 402 |
Result
Final score
397 – 402
Prediction correct · off by 144.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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