Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

496.39 – 432.56

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

530 – 522

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.5 ±8.7

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 188.71Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 189.92Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 117.76Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 741.3 ±9.8

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 217.06Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 64.24Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 151.26Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2337, 7220, 1792

/ 100 compat

Projected

496.4 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2337, 7220, 1792

Auto

139.2 28%

Teleop

254.0 50%

Endgame

110.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 836, 2638, 2252

/ 100 compat

Projected

432.6 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 836, 2638, 2252

Auto

106.9 26%

Teleop

247.3 59%

Endgame

62.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score496.4pts

Blue projected score432.6pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.8
Score range: 364–565
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1052 vs event baseline 384.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

745.5Season APEX741.3

139.2Auto106.9

254Teleop247.3

110.4Endgame62.9

197Consistency201

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	138	93
teleop	273	240
endgame	119	159
foul	0	30
total	530	522

Result

Final score

530 – 522

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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