Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.51 – 429.27

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

353 – 662

Prediction correct · off by 232.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 510 ±9.8

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 65.9Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 66.55Rank 36Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -11.94Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 813 ±10.4

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 131.82Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 207.52Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

179Children of the Swamp

Season APEX 230Event APEX 89.93Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7563, 2040, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.5 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 7563, 2040, 321

Auto

33.7 29%

Teleop

57.8 49%

Endgame

25.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3061, 9483, 179

/ 100 compat

Projected

429.3 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3061, 9483, 179

Auto

99.5 24%

Teleop

231.7 55%

Endgame

90.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score120.5pts

Blue projected score429.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -308.8
Score range: 52–498
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1015 vs event baseline 381.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510Season APEX813

33.7Auto99.5

57.8Teleop231.7

25.5Endgame90.8

184Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	140
teleop	156	414
endgame	122	98
foul	5	10
total	353	662

Result

Final score

353 – 662

Prediction correct · off by 232.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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